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fxus65 kfgz 231018 
afdfgz 


Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Flagstaff Arizona 
315 am MST Monday Nov 23 2009 


Synopsis...northern Arizona will continue to see mild days...cold 
nights...and occasional high clouds through the Thanksgiving Holiday. 


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Discussion...high pressure over the western U.S. Will continue to 
produce mild high temperatures and dry weather conditions with cold 
nights across the Northland through the Thanksgiving Holiday. Expect 
occasional periods of high clouds moving through the region with 
zero chances for precipitation through Friday. 


Extended forecast...from Saturday Onward forecast models are showing 
the long wave pattern becoming more amplified and meridional. This 
change in the long wave pattern could Herald a change in our current 
dry spell at some point next week. For now we will have to wait 
until the time period gets closer to pin down these possible changes 
to our weather. 


Any chance for more precipitation would be welcome as the current 
annual precipitation (rain and melted snowfall) totals for Flagstaff 
from January through November of 2009 stand at 8.56 inches...which 
is approximately 12 inches below normal for this time of year. As of 
November 23rd 2009...Flagstaff is firmly in second place for the all 
time lowest annual precipitation over a 111 year record period. 


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Aviation...for the 12z package...expect VFR conditions with periods 
of scattered to broken high clouds across northern Arizona for the 
next 24 hours. Aviation discussion not updated for amendments. 


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Fgz watches/warnings/advisories...none. 


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Public.................Bohlin 
aviation...............Onton 


Visit weather.Gov/Flagstaff for northern Arizona weather 
information.