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fxpq60 pgum 190541 
afdpq 


Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service tiyan GU 
341 PM chst Wednesday Nov 19 2008 


Synopsis...no significant shower activity is evident on radar 
this afternoon as dry middle-level air settles in over the region. 
The precipitation water on the morning sounding was only 1.33 inches. 
Trade winds have picked up a little. Marine conditions based on 
initialization from ipan buoy...representative of trade swells. 
&& 


Discussion...with a very dry trade wind pattern firmly in place 
no changes were required to the previous forecast. Any variation 
over the next few days will be very minor...such as wind veering 
slightly toward northeast at times or temperatures approaching 90 degree 
under sunny skies the next day or so. 
&& 


Eastern micronesia...continued with previous forecast trends... 
just a few changes were made to break out time periods along with 
minor wind adjustments. Trade-wind convergence with supporting 
upper- level divergence has spread irregularly shaped areas of 
showers across parts of the area this afternoon. Model guidance 
indicates the focus of this activity will move due west along 3n- 
6n...then a moderate trade-wind pattern will dominate weather 
through the weekend. Ww3 model indicates combined seas settling in 
the 6 to 7 feet range and surf below advisory thresholds. 
&& 


Western micronesia...minor changes made to previous forecast. Low 
level convergence generated showers will March across the area at 
times through Saturday. Model guidance indicates heaviest activity 
will be focused along 4n-6n. For the longer term...moderate 
northeast low-level winds and isolated showers will prevail. 
&& 


Gum watches/warnings/advisories... 
GU...none. 
Marianas waters...none. 
&& 


$$ 


Mundell/Simpson 

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