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fxus64 kshv 080220 
afdshv 


Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Shreveport la 
915 PM CDT sun Sep 7 2008 


Discussion... 


Local forecast is in good shape...thus no changes will be made this 
evening. Ike is still a concern for the Gulf Coast states...and is 
still a major Cat 3 hurricane as it approaches the eastern side of 
Cuba. Ike is still expected to move across Cuba over the next 24 to 
48 hours entering the southern Gulf by Tuesday night. Ike looks as if 
he will zoom in on the la or Texas coast by next weekend. 


Eleven 


&& 


Aviation... 


Water vapor imagery shows a digging shortwave trough moving into the 
Rocky Mountain states at mid-evening. As the deepening feature 
heads toward the upper Mississippi Valley...it is expected to push a 
weak cold front toward the ih-30 corridor by 09/0000 UTC. This 
could result in an isolated-scattered coverage of rain showers/thunderstorms and rain Monday afternoon... 
as increasing southeast winds bring Gulf moisture back to the region. I 
expect the coverage...however...to be to sparse to include in the 
08/0600 UTC taf package. 


With the exception of sine ceiling/visibility reductions toward 08/1200 
UTC...I expect flight categories to mostly remain VFR across area 
terminals. The greatest risk of seeing MVFR ceilings Monday will likely 
come S of a kjso-kmlu line...where greater low-level moisture could 
contribute to the lower ceilings. /Butts/ 


&& 




Previous point temps/pops... 
shv 70 90 72 88 71 / 10 20 30 30 20 
mlu 71 91 71 88 70 / 10 30 30 40 30 
deq 68 87 69 86 64 / 10 20 30 30 10 
txk 68 88 71 87 67 / 10 20 30 30 10 
eld 69 88 70 86 67 / 10 20 30 30 20 
tyr 68 91 72 87 72 / 10 20 30 30 10 
ggg 70 90 72 88 72 / 10 20 30 30 10 
lfk 72 92 73 89 73 / 10 30 30 40 30 


&& 


Shv watches/warnings/advisories... 
Arkansas...none. 
La...none. 
OK...none. 
Texas...none. 
&& 


11/21 


$$