872 
fxus66 kmfr 152042 
afdmfr 


Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Medford or 
142 PM PDT Wednesday Oct 15 2008 


Discussion...high pressure will build tonight through Thursday. 
A weak warm front skims the north Oregon coast bringing a fairly 
slim chance for rain along Coos County Thursday. The ridge slides 
east Thursday night with a weak cold front moving slowly into the 
area Friday night and Saturday. This front will bring a slim shot 
for rain to the Coos-Douglas region with only some increasing 
clouds elsewhere. Benign weather to follow through Sunday. 


Monday remains the main story and the European and GFS have come 
more in line with a solution of a strong cold front making 
landfall early Monday and progressing through the region with 
widespread rain through Monday night. Some accumulating snow looks 
likely across the mountains...with snow levels falling to between 
5000-6000 feet late Monday afternoon or evening...and down to near 
4000 feet as precipitation tapers off Monday night. Gusty south winds will 
precede the front over the coast region...mountains and east. 
Perhaps a few showers lingering into early Tuesday but most likely 
warmer and dry weather to follow into middle week with a ridge 
rebounding. 


&& 


Aviation...VFR weather to prevail through evening...then patchy 
IFR or MVFR low clouds and fog should return to the coast and 
Umpqua overnight after 10z. 


&& 


Mfr watches/warnings/advisories... 
or...none. 


California...frost advisory from 3 am to 9 am PDT Thursday for caz080-caz081- 
caz082. 


Pacific coastal waters...none. 


$$ 


Stavish