958 
fxus61 kphi 070246 
afdphi 


Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Mount Holly New Jersey 
1046 PM EDT Sat Sep 6 2008 


Synopsis... 
Tropical Storm Hanna has moved north and east of the area and will 
continue to pull away overnight. Weak high pressure will build in 
for Sunday into Monday, before a cold front passes through late 
Tuesday. High pressure will build into the region for much of the 
upcoming week, before another cold front approches by the end of 
the week into next weekend. 


&& 


Near term /through Sunday/... 
Hanna has moved north of the area and drier air will overspread 
the area ending the precipitation that was lingering over northern New Jersey. All 
headlines have been dropped except for an area Flood Warning for 
Morris County that expires at 415 am. Except for northern NJ, other 
areas have already dried out. Otherwise, skies will become pc but 
a northwest breeze will continue overnight. A weak front to the northwest will 
drop through the area but stay dry as it moves through by early 
Sunday morning. High pressure then builds over the region Sunday 
with mostly sunny skies and warm temperatures but with decreasing 
humidity. 


&& 


Short term /Sunday night/... 
dry weather with mostly clear skies is expected with high pressure 
Sunday night. 


&& 


Long term /Monday through Saturday/... 
there was little change made to the extended period. We once 
again used HPC guidance as a starting point and made only minor 
adjustments. 


A cold front is still expected to sweep through the region Tuesday, 
most likely in the afternoon or early evening, bringing a chance for 
showers and thunderstorms. The front looks to stall well off to our 
south and east. High pressure will build in behind the front and 
persist through Friday. Another disturbance may impact the region as 
we head into the weekend. 


&& 


Aviation /02z Sunday through Thursday/... 
except for some local MVFR ceiling at miv 5 Michigan visibility at ttn, VFR 
conditions have returned to all taf sites. All areas should be VFR 
by 06z and continue into Sunday. Gusty northwest winds to 25 knots will 
continue to midnight before slowly decreasing by morning. 


&& 


Marine... 
all tropical headlines have been dropped. But gusty northwest winds to 25 
knots will continue through tonight so Small Craft Advisory have been issued. 


Weak high pressure is expected to build over the region in the wake 
of the storm for Sunday and Monday. Wind speeds and seas will 
continue to subside at that time. A cold front from the northwest 
is slated to arrive on Tuesday with at least scattered additional 
precipitation. Conditions may approach Small Craft Advisory 
criteria in the frontal zone. 


&& 


Phi watches/warnings/advisories... 
PA...none. 
New Jersey...none. 
Delaware...none. 
Maryland...none. 
Marine...Small Craft Advisory until 8 am EDT Sunday for anz430-431- 
450>455. 


&& 


$$