248 
fxus64 kmeg 300751 
afdmeg 


Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Memphis Tennessee 
251 am CDT Sat Aug 30 2008 


Discussion... 


Skies are mostly clear across the forecast area early this morning 
with temperatures in the middle 60s to middle 70s. Cold front extends 
across extreme southern sections of the forecast area and should 
move into central Mississippi by later this morning. With the 
front going south of the forecast area somewhat drier air has 
moved into the region with dewpoints mainly in the 60s. Think any 
rain that forms today should remain ahead of the front so have 
removed probability of precipitation from forecast for today. Upper level ridge starts 
building into the region over the weekend so dry weather should 
continue through early Monday with temperatures slight above normal 
levels. Hurricane Gustav continues to move toward the Gulf of 
Mexico. Current TPC forecast has Gustav making landfall along the 
central Louisiana coast late Monday night or early Tuesday 
morning. Rain from Gustav could begin to move into southern 
sections of the forecast area as early as Monday afternoon. Rain 
threat will continue for much of the week with the best chance of 
rain for the forecast occurring Tuesday and Wednesday. After Gustav 
moves out the region...may need to deal with another tropical 
system. Tropical Storm Hanna moving north of Puerto Rico at this 
time is forecast to track west before curving southwest. Long 
range computer models suggest that Hanna may eventually makes its 
way into the Gulf of Mexico which means it could eventually spread 
some rain into the forecast area but too much uncertainty remains 
to mention effects of Hanna in forecast. 


&& 


Preliminary point temps/pops... 
mem 92 73 93 74 / 10 10 10 10 
mkl 90 67 92 69 / 10 10 10 10 
jbr 89 69 91 72 / 10 10 10 10 
tup 92 70 92 71 / 10 10 10 10 


&& 


Meg watches/warnings/advisories... 
Arkansas...none. 
MO...none. 
MS...none. 
Tennessee...none. 
&& 


$$