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Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Fort Worth Texas 
1201 PM CDT Sat Sep 6 2008 


Aviation... 
tafs this cycle will be VFR with south-southeasterly winds 10kts or 
less. Some low level moisture will develop into cumulus around 4 or 
5 kft during the afternoon. 75 


&& 


Update... 
103 am CDT. 
We have edited the grids...such that the new grids are more in line 
with the current observations. 26 


&& 


Previous discussion... /issued 411 am CDT Sat Sep 6 2008/ 
North Texas will remain between a broad upper level trough over 
the northern half of the country and a ridge off the southeast U.S. 
Coast. This pattern will keep conditions dry and relatively quiet 
through much of next week. 


The only real weather makers over the next week will be a few 
weak cold fronts. The first cold front...currently draped across 
southern Oklahoma and the Texas Panhandle...will stall north of 
the region today and weaken on Sunday. However..a slightly 
stronger front will push through the plains on Monday and cross 
the Red River Monday night. Lift along and behind the front will 
bring some low rain chances to most of North Texas through 
Wednesday. Unfortunately...circulation around Ike should keep Gulf 
moisture shut off from North Texas and a soaking rain is unlikely. 


The next front is prognosticated to arrive Friday morning. This front 
should be a bit stronger than the front early in the week and will 
push through the entire forecast area by Friday afternoon. Again will 
include some low probability of precipitation along and behind the front but moisture will be 
questionable again. 


Expect high temperatures to warm a bit above seasonal normals 
through the first half of the week with highs generally in the 
lower and middle 90s. Temperatures will cool a bit Tuesday with 
increasing cloud cover and weak cold air advection. After a short 
warm up from middle to late week...expect a notable cool down Friday 
into Saturday. 


Other than cutting off Gulf moisture...Ike should have no impact on 
North Texas through the week. 79 


&& 


Preliminary point temps/pops... 
Dallas-ft. Worth, Texas 93 69 95 74 94 / 0 0 0 5 10 
Waco, Texas 94 68 96 72 94 / 0 0 0 5 10 
Paris, Texas 90 63 92 69 92 / 0 0 0 5 10 
Denton, Texas 93 66 94 70 94 / 0 0 0 5 10 
McKinney, Texas 93 64 95 70 94 / 0 0 0 5 10 
Dallas, Texas 94 70 94 74 93 / 0 0 0 5 10 
Terrell, Texas 93 66 93 71 93 / 0 0 0 5 10 
Corsicana, Texas 93 67 95 71 93 / 0 0 0 5 10 
Temple, Texas 93 68 95 70 93 / 0 0 0 5 10 


&& 


Forward watches/warnings/advisories... 
none. 


&& 


$$ 


75/26